“Reflections on the future of the Western Balkans in light of Russian aggression against Ukraine- presenting three main scenarios”

Čanak, Nenad (2025) “Reflections on the future of the Western Balkans in light of Russian aggression against Ukraine- presenting three main scenarios”. In: THE FUTURE OF THE WESTERN BALKANS AFTER RUSSIAN AGGRESSION IN UKRAINE: WHAT’S NEXT? Center for Peace and Transcultural Communication, University of Tetova. ISBN 978-608-217-145-6

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Abstract

As Croatia and Montenegro face unique situations due to their EU and NATO memberships, respectively the abstract is built on the Western Balkan countries which are outside the EU umbrella and NATO. Russian Victory: If Russia wins, it is likely to try expanding its influence in the Western Balkans, using its intelligence network to support pro- Russian parties, spreading propaganda, and increasing its political and economic influence. This could challenge the region Western integration aspirations. Ukrainian Victory: Conversely, a Ukrainian victory could diminish Russia’s influence, as the Western Balkans might receive more support from the EU and NATO, enhancing protection against external influences and bolstering their democratic and economic development. Ceasefire Scenario: A ceasefire leaving parts of Ukraine under Russian control could create a complex situation for the Western Balkans, possibly leading to a frozen conflict and a challenging balancing act between maintaining relations with Russia and aspiring towards Western integration.

Item Type:	Book Section
Subjects:	J Political Science > JA Political science (General)
Divisions:	Faculty of Law, Arts and Social Sciences > School of Social Sciences
Depositing User:	Unnamed user with email zshi@unite.edu.mk
Date Deposited:	17 Mar 2025 10:55
Last Modified:	17 Mar 2025 11:38
URI:	http://eprints.unite.edu.mk/id/eprint/1994

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